Tag Archives: peak oil

Our Future Water Crises

In the past few years, we’ve made great strides in energy-efficiency. With climate change entering the mainstream, people are starting to drive less, carpool more, and take out their old bicycles. It has helped us to save money, spur our economy, protect our forests, and reduce our dependence on oil.

Despite our progress in energy-efficiency, this is no time to rest on our laurels. It’s actually a cause for great concern. Subtly but surely, sustainable living is being reduced to nothing more than the single issue of reducing carbon emissions. Our society talks about carbon dioxide as if greenhouse gas management is all that there is to caring for the earth. Environmental protection, however, means so much more than not burning gasoline.

One vital issue that has been sorely neglected is water conservation. Very few people realize that water, much like gasoline, is a scarce resource that’s being depleted at unprecedented rates. In fact, water production may someday peak, just as oil will. As of today, the world has managed to increase water production to temporarily meet rising demands. In the future, however, water supply may hit an apex and then slowly decline. The world has already seen how declining oil reserves can hurt economies and increase political instability. But the situation will be far worse with water, since without this essential resource, drought and famine can devastate entire civilizations.

The situation already looks dire. In America, about one quarter of all irrigated land relies on the Ogalla aquifer. The precious groundwater from this aquifer is vital to agriculture in the Midwest: we use it to raise livestock and grow wheat, corn, and soybeans. In the last two decades, groundwater levels have declined at alarming rates, with the water table declining by over 30 feet in some areas. New wells must be drilled ever deeper to extract groundwater that is quickly running out.

Water shortage is a looming crisis for the rest of the world, too. Even though India is not a dry country, it struggles to supply enough water for drinking and agriculture for its population of over one billion. In more arid regions, prolonged drought can force communities to ration water. In the last few years, Australia has been forced to undergo strict water rationing to avoid permanently damaging the Murray-Darling basin. Farms in this region have been forced to shut down, and local communities have even been forced to limit showering in efforts to conserve water.

Global water crises are only getting worse. Consumer culture is putting an ever greater strain on the earth’s limited supply by increasing unnecessary industrial use of water. Global warming also threatens to change rainfall patterns, which will make the water situation more unstable. If climate change occurs, moist areas are likely to experience heavier rainfall, which will lead to flash floods. Dry areas, however, are prone to becoming even drier, which may lead to deserts.

As water supplies continue to shrink, less water will be available for agriculture. This food scarcity will result in a prolonged spike in food prices. This could be catastrophic for the poor, who spend much of their income on food alone. Climate change, combined with underground water depletion, could devastate our agriculture and harm our economy. Unfortunately, water shortage is an urgent environmental crisis that the public is failing to grasp.

To appreciate the importance of water, it helps to understand the water cycle. It all begins when the sun heats saltwater from the ocean. As water evaporates, it forms water vapor which can condense to form clouds. If these clouds move over land, water droplets can precipitate as rain, which can fall on vegetation or the bare ground. Rain that hits vegetation provides the water for photosynthesis, a biological reaction that helps plants grow. Water that hits bare ground can run-off the surface to pool in larger bodies of water, which helps forms streams and rivers.

Much of the water that falls on the ground surface will evaporate once again to reform water vapor. However, some of the rain water can also infiltrate into the soil, where it can collect as groundwater. In the diagram, the water table is the surface at which all sediment beneath it is completely filled with water. The height of the water table can increase or decrease, depending on factors like the rate of rainfall. Groundwater doesn’t always stay underground permanently. It can naturally resurface at lower elevations to form springs on the surface, or it can be extracted by man-made wells.

All of these processes — evaporation, condensation, precipitation, and infiltration — are occurring constantly to form the water cycle.

Although the earth has plenty of water, most of it is not fit to drink (the water is not potable). Most of the earth’s water is saltwater, which cannot be used unless it is desalinated by expensive, energy-intensive processes. Less than 3% of the earth’s remaining water is freshwater, but unfortunately, even these sources are often undrinkable. Most freshwater is frozen in glaciers; of the remaining freshwater, much of it has been tainted by pollution. In the past, rivers were often contaminated with biological pollution including human feces, which transmitted disease such as typhoid and cholera. Today, however, modern pollutants involve chemicals like mercury, lead, and pesticides. Pollution can make it difficult, if not impossible, to safely purify water for drinking.

There are many methods to collect water. One method is to catch rain as it falls. Using rain catchment systems (1), it’s possible to store rain for drinking during dry seasons. In the same fashion, farmland in moist areas might rely entirely on rain instead of using irrigation to grow their crops.

Besides rainfall, we also turn to rivers and springs for water. Unfortunately, a civilization’s demand for water usually exceeds what’s available on the surface. That’s because people are generally terrible at conservation. Besides satisfying our basic needs for food, drink, and hygiene, we like to indulge in water-intensive luxuries. Modern man enjoys living in deserts, wasting food, watering lawns, taking long baths, and owning private swimming pools. Given our insatiable appetite, surface water just won’t cut it.

To deal with this water shortage, we often build underground wells that tap into the ground water. There is about sixty times more groundwater than there is surface water, so in the short run, this vastly improves our supply. Our wells extract water from underground aquifers, which have collected infiltrated rainwater through the centuries. Because these wells pull from a large reservoir, they can supply far more water than is normally replenished through rainfall.

But cheap water is a mixed blessing. Whenever a scarce resource appears to be virtually unlimited, we tend to waste it with devastating consequences. In only a few years, it’s possible to squander groundwater that took centuries to deposit. Usually this groundwater is not allowed to replenish naturally, which results in shrinking reservoirs each year. This can result in the formation of deserts and massive water shortages in the future.

This environmental catastrophe can lead to human catastrophes like economic collapse and even water wars. What makes these crises so tragic is that they’re mostly preventable. Our planet has plenty of water for all if we chose to build a culture centered around sustainable development.

We must act conserve and we must start now. Time, along with our water supply, is quickly running out.


  1. Here’s a video of a simple, off-grid rainwater barrel that’s worth checking out. Collecting rainwater is a great idea, mostly because it helps the average homeowner to appreciate the scarcity of water.
  2. Photo credit in order: Schilling 2, CC BY-NC-ND. Kbh3rd, CC BY-SA.
    United States Geological Survey, public domain.
    US Geological Survey, slight modification to make words look clearer.
    National Department of Agriculture Rural Inforeach, PDF file.

Escaping High Oil Prices

Today, the average price of gas in the USA is $3.29 per gallon. It sounds expensive, but it’s actually quite cheap compared to prices in the rest of the world. In Japan and Korea, gas costs around $5.50 per gallon. In Hong Kong, Germany, and Denmark, gas can cost as much as $7.50 per gallon. Filling up a 16-gallon tank in a mid-sized car can easily cost over $110 in Norway. To put that in perspective, $110 can pay for two weeks worth of groceries.

At $3.29/gallon, you could be spending $2000 each year in gas prices alone if you commute 30 miles each day to work (1). If two people commute separately, that’s $4000 each year. And there’s more awful news to come: the price of oil will only continue to increase. It’s a matter of basic economics: demand is increasing, but supply is running out.

Petroleum is a limited, non-renewable resource. This means that oil production follows a curve: it starts slow, hits a peak, and then begins to trail. Oil engineers predicted this phenomenon in the early 1950s—and this may be the decade we may finally reach peak oil. Soon thereafter, global oil production will taper off. Already, most easy-to-reach oil supplies have been exhausted. Oil companies are now increasingly resorting to offshore and tar sands oil extraction, which are both expensive and harmful to the environment. Yet while supply is decreasing, demand for oil is exploding. In particular, the burgeoning middle classes of China and India are acquiring a taste for motor vehicles. With a billion cars worldwide today, and tens of millions more added each year, the price of fuel will skyrocket.

Oil production peak by country. (from US Department of Energy)

Our current era of cheap, unlimited energy is quickly coming to an end. By the end of this decade, the average household could be spending $8000+ on gasoline each year just to commute to work. Our society’s driving habits will change—if not for environmental reasons, then at least because of the price.

The best strategy for dealing with the upcoming energy crisis is to wean yourself off of petroleum. Live with less gasoline so that rising fuel prices won’t affect your standard of living. Not only will you help reduce pollution, you’ll be saving thousands of dollars, too.

Switch over to mass transit whenever you can. They conserve fuel and ultimately conserve you money. A $65 monthly bus pass could save you $100 each month in fuel costs alone, or $1200 each year (2). If you can live without a car, you can save another $4000 each year in auto insurance, car payments, and parking fees. You’ll also save time; instead of fighting traffic, you can read, rest, or relax.

If you’re willing to totally unplug from the oil economy, you can start bicycle commuting . By cycling, you can save $6000+ each year. You don’t even need a specialized bicycle; just use what you have. In fact, if you live close enough, you can just walk. Both tactics will save you money while providing exercise.

For decades, we’ve been willfully ignorant about the fact that oil is a limited resource. We pretended that gas pumps had a supply that could never end. But within a decade, many of us may be forced to live car-free out of economic necessity. We didn’t pay attention to conservation in the past; but today, we can’t afford not to.


  1. Assumptions: $3.29/gallon, 30 miles 1-way implies 60 miles round-trip, 5 days per week, 50 weeks per year, average mileage is 25 miles/gallon: $3.29/gallon × 30 miles × 2 (round-trip) × 5 days/wk × 50 wks/yr ÷ 25 miles/gallon = $1974/yr. Per month, it’s $1974÷12 = $164.5. For two commuters, it’s $1974 &multiply; 2 = $3948/yr. If gas rises to $6.59/gallon (doubling in price), the cost of fuel for two commuters is $7896/yr.
  2. A Los Angeles monthly bus pass is $75, and Orange County’s is $55. If the average bus pass is $65/mo., the difference between gasoline price and bus fare is $164.5 – $65 = $99.5. If we roughly estimate the cost of auto insurance ($1550), parking ($500), and car payments ($200/mo. &multiply 12mo. = $2400), the additional cost of car ownership is $4450/yr., not including the cost of maintenance and vehicle registration fees.